Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GAV
0 - 0
HER
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
HER
0 - 0
MLL
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
ALI
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
MLL
3 - 1
HER
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
HER
3 - 0
CEM
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
CAS
3 - 1
NOV
50%
27%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 1
CAS
50%
26%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 0
HOS
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
SAB
0 - 4
CAS
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
CAS
3 - 0
LLE
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |