Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ALC
1 - 1
HER
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PPJ
1 - 0
HER
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
HER
2 - 3
GET
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
0 - 6
HER
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2002 |
HER
1 - 1
CDT
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
2 - 0
GET
38%
29%
34%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
CDM
1 - 3
CAS
30%
28%
42%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
CAS
1 - 2
CDT
32%
29%
40%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
LAN
1 - 0
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 0
VEC
56%
25%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |