Hércules vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1981 |
HER
5 - 0
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
79 | 31 | 48 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
SPO
1 - 1
HER
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
HER
3 - 0
UDL
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
MUR
1 - 1
HER
22%
29%
49%
|
79 | 30 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAD
3 - 2
HER
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
4 - 0
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
CAS
0 - 3
SEV
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAS
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
DEN
0 - 4
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
CAS
1 - 3
RSO
25%
30%
45%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |