Hércules vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
CAS
1 - 2
HER
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
UDL
2 - 0
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
HER
2 - 1
CAD
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
BET
1 - 2
HER
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
LOK
0 - 3
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 0
SEV
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
ATM
0 - 1
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
FCB
2 - 0
RSO
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
RAC
0 - 1
FCB
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |