Hércules vs Barça Atlètic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 0
HER
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 0
HER
27%
26%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HER
2 - 1
GIR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 0
HER
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
ELC
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barça Atlètic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 1
PON
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
FCB
26%
26%
49%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
SAB
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RMC
3 - 2
FCB
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
FCB
4 - 5
ALM
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |