Hércules vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
42.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
SPO
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VCF
0 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 1
HER
50%
28%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
HER
1 - 0
RAC
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
REC
3 - 1
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CEL
2 - 2
ATM
28%
28%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
ATM
1 - 0
REC
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
BUR
0 - 1
ATM
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ATM
4 - 0
ATH
64%
21%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
UDL
1 - 0
ATM
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |