Hércules vs Alcoyano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
HER
3 - 3
ALZ
56%
26%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
GAN
2 - 1
HER
56%
26%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
HER
0 - 1
ORI
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
HER
3 - 1
MHN
54%
26%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
BEN
1 - 1
HER
48%
28%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1990 |
GIM
3 - 1
ALC
36%
30%
35%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ALC
4 - 4
HOS
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MLL
1 - 1
ALC
37%
29%
34%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ALC
6 - 1
ATB
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
VIL
1 - 0
ALC
38%
29%
33%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |