Hércules vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
HER
3 - 0
MLL
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ORI
0 - 1
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
BAL
4 - 1
HER
58%
20%
22%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 2
HER
64%
18%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
HER
7 - 5
ORI
72%
16%
12%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1952 |
PUL
0 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
PUL
1 - 2
BUR
81%
12%
7%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
2 - 1
ORI
78%
13%
10%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
RJA
5 - 2
PUL
68%
17%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1952 |
PUL
9 - 1
CPC
73%
15%
12%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |