Hércules vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
TER
2 - 1
HER
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
HER
0 - 1
TER
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RMC
2 - 2
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
HER
2 - 0
OND
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
BAR
1 - 0
AGD
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
AGD
0 - 0
HER
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
SFE
2 - 4
AGD
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
AGD
2 - 0
COR
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |