Hercules SD vs Union Campestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-97%
+85%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
OCA
1 - 5
HER
24%
19%
57%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
MER
2 - 3
HER
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
MAR
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HER
4 - 1
JUV
72%
15%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BLE
2 - 3
HER
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
UCA
3 - 0
OBR
39%
22%
38%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UCA
7 - 1
PAS
70%
16%
14%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 5
UCA
31%
20%
49%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 2
MAR
20%
20%
60%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
UCA
1 - 2
SPO
74%
14%
12%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |