Hercules SD vs Union Campestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercules SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
XUV
1 - 0
HER
80%
12%
8%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
HER
1 - 3
CUL
27%
22%
52%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
HER
53%
21%
26%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
ATL
41%
21%
38%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
HER
0 - 1
CAR
20%
21%
60%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Union Campestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UCA
3 - 5
XUV
20%
19%
61%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CUL
3 - 0
UCA
76%
14%
10%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
UCA
1 - 2
BRI
44%
22%
34%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
UCA
2 - 2
ATL
38%
22%
41%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
5 - 1
UCA
78%
14%
8%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | 0 |