Hercílio Luz vs Concórdia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
BRU
1 - 1
HER
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 2
NES
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
HER
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
HER
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 3
INT
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Concórdia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
JEC
1 - 2
CAC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
0 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAC
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
BRU
22%
26%
52%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
CAC
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |