Hercílio Luz vs CA Tubarão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
41.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
MAR
36%
27%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 1
HER
78%
16%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 1
HER
83%
14%
3%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
JEC
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HER
4 - 0
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CA Tubarão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
3 - 2
JEC
37%
26%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
41%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
0 - 0
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 3
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
BRU
1 - 0
TUB
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |