Les Herbiers vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Les Herbiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 1
LES
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
LES
0 - 0
CAE
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
LES
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LES
1 - 2
LEH
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LEM
2 - 1
LES
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 1
FON
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
PAC
18%
26%
56%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 2
FON
49%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FON
0 - 0
CAR
21%
27%
53%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
LEH
2 - 1
FON
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |