Heracles vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
42%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
GRO
1 - 2
HER
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2019 |
HER
3 - 0
HHC
82%
12%
5%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
VIT
25%
24%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
11%
17%
72%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
HER
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
60%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 3
WIL
26%
24%
51%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
ZWO
1 - 3
WIL
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |