Heracles vs Vitesse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
2 - 1
PSV
18%
21%
61%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ADO
0 - 1
HER
42%
25%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
TWE
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BVO
1 - 6
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
HER
3 - 0
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
2 - 1
VIT
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
4 - 1
BVO
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FEY
2 - 0
VIT
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
VIT
3 - 0
RJC
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |