Heracles vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 4
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
1 - 2
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 1
RBC
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 5
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |