Heracles vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ENS
1 - 0
HER
69%
16%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
HER
2 - 4
FOR
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
FEY
5 - 0
HER
85%
9%
5%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
HER
1 - 4
PSV
32%
22%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
NAC
0 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
GAE
2 - 0
NAC
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SPA
0 - 0
GAE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
GAE
1 - 0
MVV
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
DWS
1 - 1
GAE
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GAE
0 - 1
ADO
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |