Heracles vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
VVV
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
OSA
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
IST
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HER
1 - 2
NEC
49%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
FEY
2 - 2
SPA
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 1
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
UTR
0 - 1
FEY
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
FEY
0 - 1
DYN
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
DYN
2 - 1
FEY
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |