Eredivisie Eredivisie Round 31

Heracles vs PEC Zwolle analysis

Heracles PEC Zwolle
68 ELO 75
12.8% Tilt 22.9%
379º General ELO ranking 372º
15º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
32.7%
Heracles
26.1%
Draw
41.3%
PEC Zwolle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
Heracles
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
41.2%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heracles
-3%
+7%
PEC Zwolle

ELO progression

Heracles
PEC Zwolle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 2015
HER
Heracles
0 - 2
Ajax
AJA
16%
21%
63%
68 86 18 0
04 Apr. 2015
FCD
Dordrecht
2 - 3
Heracles
HER
33%
24%
43%
67 61 6 +1
21 Mar. 2015
HER
Heracles
1 - 4
Heerenveen
SCH
27%
25%
48%
68 80 12 -1
15 Mar. 2015
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 3
Heracles
HER
55%
23%
22%
67 71 4 +1
07 Mar. 2015
HER
Heracles
1 - 1
Vitesse
VIT
24%
24%
52%
67 79 12 0

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Apr. 2015
PSV
PSV
3 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
61%
22%
17%
78 83 5 0
07 Apr. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
51%
24%
25%
78 80 2 0
04 Apr. 2015
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Willem II
WIL
52%
24%
24%
77 74 3 +1
22 Mar. 2015
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
58%
23%
19%
77 72 5 0
14 Mar. 2015
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
50%
25%
25%
78 80 2 -1