Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
HER
5 - 1
GRO
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
HER
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
HER
2 - 2
FEY
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
UTR
5 - 2
ZWO
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ZWO
0 - 0
UTR
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
UTR
1 - 3
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 3
UTR
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FEY
2 - 1
UTR
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |