Heracles vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 0
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
3 - 0
HER
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
HER
2 - 2
GRO
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
TWE
2 - 0
HER
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
UTR
6 - 1
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
PSV
3 - 1
UTR
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
UTR
46%
24%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
UTR
0 - 2
ZWO
39%
26%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 2
UTR
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |