Eredivisie Round 28

Heracles vs Utrecht analysis

Heracles Utrecht
68 ELO 73
1.8% Tilt 11.9%
382º General ELO ranking 107º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.3%
Heracles
27.1%
Draw
32.7%
Utrecht

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
Heracles
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
Utrecht
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heracles
-7%
+8%
Utrecht

ELO progression

Heracles
Utrecht
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2008
GRO
Groningen
1 - 2
Heracles
HER
62%
22%
16%
67 78 11 0
26 Feb. 2008
HFC
HFC Haarlem
1 - 5
Heracles
HER
28%
24%
48%
66 58 8 +1
23 Feb. 2008
HER
Heracles
3 - 3
Feyenoord
FEY
17%
22%
62%
65 85 20 +1
16 Feb. 2008
HER
Heracles
2 - 2
Heerenveen
SCH
24%
25%
51%
65 82 17 0
08 Feb. 2008
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
Heracles
HER
69%
20%
12%
65 80 15 0

Matches

Utrecht
Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2008
UTR
Utrecht
3 - 1
PSV
PSV
25%
26%
49%
72 88 16 0
22 Feb. 2008
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
2 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
40%
26%
33%
73 64 9 -1
17 Feb. 2008
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 4
VVV Venlo
VVV
65%
21%
14%
74 65 9 -1
09 Feb. 2008
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
54%
24%
22%
74 77 3 0
03 Feb. 2008
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
63%
22%
15%
74 67 7 0