Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RKC
3 - 0
HER
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
HER
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
GRO
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
ZWO
2 - 2
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
59%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 2
TWE
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TWE
0 - 0
SCH
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 0
TWE
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |