Heracles vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BVO
2 - 0
HER
43%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
ADO
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 1
PSV
15%
20%
66%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
2 - 4
HER
63%
20%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 3
ZWO
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
TWE
2 - 2
PSV
28%
24%
48%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
SCH
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
TWE
33%
25%
42%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
TWE
6 - 0
UTR
59%
23%
19%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FEY
1 - 4
TWE
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |