Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 1
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
FEY
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
RKC
2 - 2
HER
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
HER
1 - 2
CCF
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
12%
18%
70%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
AJA
5 - 1
SCH
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
34%
23%
43%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |