Heracles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.7%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
FOR
1 - 0
HER
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1985 |
HER
0 - 3
BOS
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
HFC
5 - 2
HER
57%
22%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
HER
2 - 3
UTR
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
FEY
5 - 1
HER
83%
11%
6%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
AJA
7 - 1
VVV
95%
3%
1%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
GRO
2 - 1
AJA
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
AJA
2 - 4
PSV
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1985 |
EXC
2 - 3
AJA
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |