Heracles vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
PSV
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
HER
1 - 1
SCH
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
GRO
0 - 0
HER
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
HER
0 - 4
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
1 - 2
HER
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
17%
20%
63%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 3
NAC
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
SCH
3 - 0
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 2
PSV
18%
23%
60%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NEC
5 - 0
ADO
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |