Hendon vs Herne Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hendon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEN
0 - 0
CHE
20%
22%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
HEN
64%
19%
18%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 3
HEN
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HEN
3 - 1
WIN
26%
24%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
POT
1 - 5
HEN
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AVE
1 - 1
HER
75%
15%
11%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
HER
0 - 6
HOR
12%
20%
68%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 0
ASH
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 0
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
HOR
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | +2 |