Hemsworth MW vs Maltby Main analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ECC
3 - 0
HEM
48%
21%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GOO
0 - 4
HEM
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HEM
1 - 2
ALB
47%
22%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 1
HEM
60%
20%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 4
HEM
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Maltby Main
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 1
SIL
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
1 - 2
PEN
27%
23%
50%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BOT
3 - 3
MAL
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
0 - 3
GAR
15%
17%
68%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
MAL
4 - 4
HEM
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |