Hemsworth MW vs Garforth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
58.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hemsworth MW
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HEM
1 - 0
GOO
78%
12%
9%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 2
ECC
47%
21%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
3 - 1
HAL
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 1
HEM
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HEM
2 - 2
AFC
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Garforth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
GAR
3 - 1
SIL
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
GAR
6%
11%
83%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
0 - 4
GAR
27%
20%
53%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
GAR
7 - 3
MAL
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GOO
0 - 7
GAR
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +2 |