Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
BOS
1 - 1
HEL
52%
24%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 2
GRA
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 0
EIN
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
BVV
0 - 3
HEL
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
HEL
2 - 0
BVO
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 3
BOS
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 1
FOR
40%
28%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
BVO
1 - 1
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 2
BVV
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |