Heist vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
77.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DEI
0 - 0
HEI
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
OLS
1 - 1
HEI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
TIE
0 - 2
HEI
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
1 - 2
KVC
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 0
KVM
7%
13%
80%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
UNI
3 - 1
LOK
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 0
LOM
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
BEE
1 - 0
LOK
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 0
PAN
86%
11%
3%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
LOK
24%
22%
54%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |