Heist vs FCV Dender analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ANT
0 - 3
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 1
VIS
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
EUP
4 - 1
HEI
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
STA
0 - 3
HEI
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HEI
1 - 1
LOM
24%
24%
51%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FCV Dender
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 2
WAA
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
OOS
6 - 1
DEN
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 3
KSV
49%
25%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DEN
3 - 0
TUB
55%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIE
1 - 2
DEN
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |