Heist vs Antwerp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
4 - 0
HEI
42%
25%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HEI
0 - 0
EUP
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LOM
1 - 2
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HEI
1 - 2
CHA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOU
1 - 2
HEI
44%
25%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Antwerp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ANT
0 - 2
WAA
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OOS
1 - 0
ANT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
2 - 1
KSV
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DEN
1 - 1
ANT
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
STN
2 - 1
ANT
25%
25%
49%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |