Heider SV vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
80.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
16.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.5%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heider SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EIN
6 - 1
HEI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
HEI
0 - 1
WER
8%
16%
76%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HAM
5 - 1
HEI
84%
12%
4%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
VHG
6 - 3
HEI
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
HEI
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LUB
3 - 3
STP
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LUB
2 - 0
LSK
74%
17%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LUB
3 - 1
JED
71%
19%
11%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
LUB
1 - 0
SHW
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |