Heidenheim vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STP
1 - 1
HEI
37%
26%
37%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HEI
1 - 0
ERZ
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 0
SVS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
HEI
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HEI
3 - 0
MAG
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
WOL
1 - 3
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
PAD
4 - 4
HOL
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MSV
2 - 0
PAD
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CHL
0 - 3
PAD
3%
9%
87%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
3 - 3
SVS
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |