Heidenheim vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
ERZ
0 - 2
HEI
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 3
HEI
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
BOC
1 - 1
HEI
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
SCF
28%
26%
46%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HEI
1 - 2
SGF
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
FCN
0 - 2
HER
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
SCF
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
PAD
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
STP
0 - 4
FCN
41%
26%
34%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
FCN
2 - 1
EBT
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |