Heidenheim vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
MSV
3 - 4
HEI
34%
26%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HEI
2 - 3
SVS
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
3 - 1
HEI
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
HEI
3 - 0
STP
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 1
HEI
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
ING
3 - 0
DAR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HSV
0 - 3
ING
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
ING
1 - 0
SGD
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 3
ING
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ING
1 - 1
HOL
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |