Heerenveen vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PSV
4 - 1
SCH
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
5 - 2
AZA
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SCH
0 - 0
NAC
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
HER
1 - 4
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
SCH
1 - 4
AJA
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 4
GRO
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 2
FEY
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
WIL
2 - 1
FCD
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
WIL
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |