Heerenveen vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ADO
2 - 3
SCH
25%
23%
52%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
4 - 2
WIL
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 4
SCH
27%
23%
51%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
2 - 2
PSV
9%
16%
75%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
ZWO
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
WIL
3 - 2
GRA
55%
23%
23%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
ADO
35%
24%
41%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ZWO
0 - 3
GRA
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 1
UTR
17%
21%
61%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FEY
4 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |