Heerenveen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
72.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
ZWO
4 - 1
SCH
23%
22%
55%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 1
GRO
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
4 - 3
FEY
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
SCH
1 - 0
VIT
26%
25%
50%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
LIL
53%
23%
25%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AJA
4 - 2
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
LIL
1 - 2
AJA
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
HER
0 - 2
AJA
11%
16%
73%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |