Heerenveen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
RBC
0 - 2
SCH
16%
25%
59%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SCH
0 - 0
SPA
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
GRO
2 - 0
SCH
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
4 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
RKC
2 - 2
SCH
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 4
UTR
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
TWE
2 - 3
AJA
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NEC
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2005 |
SCH
4 - 2
AJA
30%
24%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2005 |
AJA
3 - 2
GRO
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |