Heerenveen Sub 21 vs Twente / Heracles Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
21.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIT
5 - 1
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
DBS
74%
14%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
HER
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EMM
3 - 2
HER
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
GRA
50%
21%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Twente / Heracles Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
THS
1 - 2
EMM
29%
23%
49%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
THS
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 2
THS
50%
22%
29%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
THS
1 - 3
GAE
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
DBS
3 - 2
THS
32%
22%
46%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |