Heerenveen U21 vs NEC Nijmegen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
8º
4º
17
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heerenveen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 3
HER
52%
21%
28%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 0
ROD
42%
22%
37%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
THS
60%
19%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
VIT
5 - 1
HER
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
DBS
74%
14%
11%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NEC
6 - 3
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 0
NEC
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 1
DBS
63%
18%
18%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NEC
3 - 4
NAC
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
THS
2 - 0
NEC
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |