Hednesford Town vs Curzon Ashton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
AFC
1 - 3
HED
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 1
HED
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
HED
2 - 3
TOW
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 1
HED
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HED
2 - 0
AFC
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Curzon Ashton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 0
STA
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 1
CUR
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SUT
1 - 0
CUR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 1
CUR
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 2
BOS
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |