Hebburn Town vs Long Eaton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
41.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
2º
8º
3º
65
4º
18º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
49 | 49 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
41 | 41 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
40 | 40 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
21 | 21 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hebburn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
HEB
62%
19%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OUF
0 - 1
HEB
38%
24%
39%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 2
WAR
17%
18%
65%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HEB
2 - 2
GRA
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 0
SHI
63%
19%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Long Eaton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CLE
2 - 1
LON
38%
22%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
OUF
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
TAD
2 - 2
LON
9%
15%
77%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
LON
9%
14%
77%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
CON
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |