Scottish League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Heart of Midlothian vs St. Mirren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
77%
14%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
HOM
3 - 0
CLY
71%
17%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
HOM
1 - 0
MHE
56%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
FOR
0 - 2
HOM
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
CLY
1 - 7
HOM
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
STM
1 - 1
ABE
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
STM
1 - 2
CEL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
STM
1 - 1
HOM
77%
14%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1982 |
HIB
0 - 0
STM
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
STM
0 - 0
STI
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | -1 |