League Cup . Quarter-finals

Heart of Midlothian vs Motherwell analysis

Heart of Midlothian Motherwell
75 ELO 68
7.4% Tilt -13.4%
311º General ELO ranking 845º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
59%
Heart of Midlothian
22%
Draw
19%
Motherwell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
Heart of Midlothian
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
Motherwell
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Heart of Midlothian
+9%
+1%
Motherwell

ELO progression

Heart of Midlothian
Motherwell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heart of Midlothian
Heart of Midlothian
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
0 - 0
Livingston
LIV
62%
21%
17%
75 66 9 0
15 Sep. 2018
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
43%
27%
30%
74 69 5 +1
01 Sep. 2018
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
4 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
66%
20%
14%
74 61 13 0
25 Aug. 2018
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
45%
27%
29%
74 72 2 0
18 Aug. 2018
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
27%
25%
49%
74 60 14 0

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2018
ABE
Aberdeen
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
56%
24%
19%
69 77 8 0
15 Sep. 2018
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 1
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
43%
27%
30%
69 74 5 0
01 Sep. 2018
DUN
Dundee
1 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
26%
27%
47%
70 58 12 -1
26 Aug. 2018
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 3
Rangers FC
GLA
24%
24%
53%
70 80 10 0
18 Aug. 2018
LIV
Livingston
0 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
35%
26%
40%
69 65 4 +1
X