Heart of Midlothian vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOM
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
HOM
3 - 0
ABE
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MHE
5 - 1
STJ
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MHE
0 - 3
CEL
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
HIB
1 - 1
MHE
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
MHE
1 - 2
GLA
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |